IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.8	#257
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	59.6	#341
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.8	#281

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.0	#230

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.7%	18.7%	11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	57.4%	68.9%	40.9%
.500 or above in Conference	69.5%	76.5%	59.3%
Conference Champion	26.6%	31.5%	19.3%
Last Place in Conference	0.2%	0.0%	0.3%

First Four	7.3%	7.5%	7.1%
First Round	12.0%	15.1%	7.4%
Second Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Away) - 59.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	13 - 7	14 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	323	@ Morgan St.	W	68-66	59%
Nov 28, 2020	213	Navy	L	59-61	42%
Nov 29, 2020	39	@ Maryland	L	55-75	3%
Dec 05, 2020	99	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	58-72	10%
Dec 08, 2020	239	St. Francis (PA)	W	70-68	57%
Dec 11, 2020	202	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	64-65	49%
Dec 15, 2020	313	Wagner	W	69-63	72%
Dec 16, 2020	313	Wagner	W	69-63	72%
Dec 19, 2020	174	@ Saint Joseph's	L	67-75	24%
Dec 22, 2020	326	Howard	W	75-66	79%
Jan 07, 2021	310	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	W	67-66	51%
Jan 08, 2021	310	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	W	67-66	50%
Jan 14, 2021	290	Merrimack	W	60-56	65%
Jan 15, 2021	290	Merrimack	W	60-56	65%
Jan 21, 2021	332	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	70-66	63%
Jan 22, 2021	332	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	70-66	63%
Jan 30, 2021	311	Sacred Heart	W	70-64	70%
Jan 31, 2021	311	Sacred Heart	W	70-64	70%
Feb 04, 2021	294	@ Bryant	L	68-69	46%
Feb 05, 2021	294	@ Bryant	L	68-69	46%
Feb 11, 2021	260	LIU Brooklyn	W	72-69	60%
Feb 12, 2021	260	LIU Brooklyn	W	72-69	60%
Feb 20, 2021	233	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	67-71	36%
Feb 21, 2021	233	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	67-71	37%
Feb 25, 2021	239	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	67-71	37%
Projected Record						13 - 12	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.6	2.1	4.0	5.3	5.5	4.4	2.9	1.3	0.4		26.6	1st
2nd									0.0	0.8	3.7	6.0	5.3	3.2	1.6	0.4	0.1	0.0			21.2	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.6	3.9	5.5	3.1	1.2	0.3	0.0						14.7	3rd
4th							0.0	0.5	3.1	4.1	1.5	0.4	0.0								9.7	4th
5th						0.0	0.3	2.3	3.9	1.4	0.1										8.0	5th
6th					0.0	0.1	1.5	3.0	1.2	0.1	0.0										5.9	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	1.0	2.5	1.4	0.1												5.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	1.3	0.2													3.7	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.0	0.2	0.0													3.0	9th
10th	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0														2.1	10th
11th	0.0																				0.0	11th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.6	1.5	2.3	3.7	5.8	7.5	8.9	10.2	11.5	11.7	10.6	8.8	7.2	4.8	2.9	1.4	0.4			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
17-1	98.8%	1.3		1.3	0.0
16-2	97.8%	2.9		2.7	0.2
15-3	91.9%	4.4		3.9	0.5	0.0
14-4	76.7%	5.5		4.4	1.0	0.1
13-5	60.2%	5.3		3.8	1.3	0.1
12-6	38.0%	4.0		2.0	1.7	0.3	0.0
11-7	18.4%	2.1		0.6	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0
10-8	5.0%	0.6		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-9	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0

Total	26.6%	26.6		19.2	5.8	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.4%		71.5%	71.5%		12.9											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	1.4%		55.2%	55.2%		13.7												0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.6
16-2	2.9%		45.6%	45.6%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	1.6
15-3	4.8%		42.1%	42.1%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	2.8
14-4	7.2%		29.7%	29.7%		15.4														0.0	0.2	0.8	1.0	5.0
13-5	8.8%		23.2%	23.2%		15.7															0.1	0.5	1.5	6.8
12-6	10.6%		19.9%	19.9%		15.9															0.0	0.2	1.9	8.5
11-7	11.7%		16.4%	16.4%		16.0																0.1	1.8	9.8
10-8	11.5%		11.9%	11.9%		16.0																0.0	1.3	10.1
9-9	10.2%		7.0%	7.0%		16.0																0.0	0.7	9.5
8-10	8.9%		6.9%	6.9%		16.0																	0.6	8.2
7-11	7.5%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.2	7.3
6-12	5.8%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.2	5.6
5-13	3.7%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.1	3.6
4-14	2.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
3-15	1.5%																							1.5
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		15.7%	15.7%	0.0%	15.4											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	3.2	10.3	84.3		0.0%